Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in Arizona swing state survey
Recent research from Raba Research indicates that former president Donald Trump leads vice president Joe Biden in the pivotal state of Arizona, as Breitbart News reports.
The survey asked respondents, “Suppose the election for President were held today – for whom would you vote? Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Donald Trump?”
Among all respondents, 39% indicated they would back Trump, with 36% giving their support to Biden. Another 15% responded "someone else," while 10% are still undecided. Put another way, there is still an opportunity to claim a quarter.
Polling Details
The poll also finds that Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego (R-AZ) and Trump supporter Kari Lake are in a close contest for the Senate, with a margin of only a few percentage points:
📊 Arizona Poll: @RABAresearch
President
🟥 Trump 39%
🟦 Biden 36%
Someone else 15%
—
Senate
🟦 Gallego 36%
🟥 Lake 28%
Someone else 13%
—
538: #210 (0.6/3.0) | 3/28-31 | 503 RVhttps://t.co/ROaJ5C0mr9 pic.twitter.com/Whz0zi02Gu— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 2, 2024
The survey was taken March 28-31, 2024, among 503 voters in Arizona, and it has a +/- 4.4 percent margin of error.
This poll is in line with others that have come out recently showing that Trump is closing the gap with Biden or even surpassing him in numerous crucial swing states around the country.
As an illustration, the most recent Wall Street Journal survey that looked at the presidential election in states that were considered to be swing states found that Trump had a narrow advantage over Biden.
In Pennsylvania, for instance, Trump had a three-point edge, but in Nevada, Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia, Biden had a six-point lead. There is a deadlock in Wisconsin:
🇺🇲 2024 SWING STATES GE: @WSJ
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump 47% (+3)
🟦 Biden 44%
.
NEVADA
🟥 Trump 48% (+4)
🟦 Biden 44%
.
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump 48% (+3)
🟦 Biden 45%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 49% (+6)
🟦 Biden 43%
.
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump 47% (+5)
🟦 Biden 42%
.
WISCONSIN
🟦 Biden 46% (=)
🟥… pic.twitter.com/OxcsntVco6— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 3, 2024
Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) recently conducted a poll in Arizona and discovered that voters there are most concerned about immigration and inflation, two areas where Trump excels.
Trump brought up immigration during his Tuesday campaign speech in Grand Rapids, Michigan, calling Biden's open border policy a "bloodbath."
Trump's Comments
“They tried to use that term incorrectly on me two weeks ago,” Trump said. “It’s all about misinformation. That’s all they do is cheat on elections…but it’s a border bloodbath, and it’s destroying our country.”
“They’re sending prisoners, murderers, drug dealers, mental patients, and terrorists — the worst they have in every country all over the world,” Trump continued, detailing the dangers of Biden’s open border policies.
“This isn’t just in South America. They’re coming from the Congo, from Yemen, from Somalia, from Syria. They come from all over the world, China,” he added.
