June 10, 2024

Trump continues to lead Biden in 2024 polls, despite guilty verdict

Despite his recently guilty verdict, former President Donald Trump continues to hold a slight lead over President Joe Biden in 2024 polls. 

The latest poll to indicate as much comes from CBS News and YouGov. The complete results can be found here.

The pollster surveyed some 2,063 "Adults in the U.S.," including 1,615 registered voters, during a period from June 5 to June 7, 2024, which was after the recent guilty conviction of Trump in the so-called hush-money case.

The poll's margin of error is plus or minus a little over 3 percentage points.

Trump's still on top

At this point, there is little doubt that the Democrats are prosecuting Trump in order to hurt his 2024 presidential election campaign. But, this plan does not seem to be working.

The CBS News/YouGov poll asked participants, "If the 2024 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?"

Trump came out on top with 50% of the vote. Biden scored 49% of the vote. And, 1% went to "someone else/third party."

Some important points to note are that, when the poll results are narrowed down to independents, Biden gets 50% of the vote, while Trump gets 48%, and when the poll results are narrowed down to battleground states, Biden leads Trump 50% to 49%.

One final thing to note is that Trump voters appear to be more enthusiastic than Biden voters, 78% to 69%, respectively.

"Not a factor"

Admittedly, all of the poll results are within the margin of error. But, surely this has to be good news for Trump considering that he was just convicted of a crime.

The Washington Times highlights the fact that, in the above poll, a majority of participants said that Trump's guilty verdict is "not a factor."

Per the outlet:

A CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday found that 55% of likely voters said that the New York jury’s guilty verdict May 31 is “not a factor” in their decision on the presidential candidates, while 28% called it a “major factor” and 17% said it was a “minor factor.”

The pollster itself, in its analysis, said this:

Voters say Donald Trump’s guilty verdict pales in importance compared to issues like the economy, inflation, and the border, so while it hasn’t dramatically reshaped the Presidential race, that race today is essentially tied in likely voter preference nationally, and across the battleground states

If true, then this is bad news for Biden, because the polls have consistently indicated that Biden is losing to Trump, big time, on the issues.

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