March 6, 2024

Sinema Announces She Will Not Run for Re-election in 2024

Super Tuesday is in the books and there is all kinds of carnage left behind.

Nikki Haley has already suspended her campaign, which we had predicted would happen after the votes were tallied.

The real bombshell, at least to me, is that Senator Sinema (I-AZ) has chosen to not defend her seat as an independent.

She’s Out

Sinema has been drawing support from both sides of the aisle since switching to an independent, just not a lot of it.

It is virtually impossible to run as an independent and win, that is, unless you are Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT), who pretends to be an independent, but we all know he is neck deep in the Democrat Party.

As a first-time Senator, Sinema does not have the advantage of Sanders, and her path to victory was never evident, trailing both Kari Lake and Ruben Gallego significantly in the primary race.

So, on Tuesday, Sinema announced that she would be suspending her campaign…

There are two recent polls, both of which have a two and three-way race.

One had Lake ahead, while the other had Gallego ahead, so this is still a toss-up in terms of trying to make a prediction.

I think most of Sinema’s supporters will vote Democrat rather than Republican, but I don’t want to go out on a limb just yet.

There is also the Trump factor, as Trump has struggled to get a grip in Arizona since 2020, and with Trump fully behind Lake, we have to wait a bit to see how that pans out now that this is officially a two-candidate race.

We will find out soon enough if the hatred for Trump in Arizona outweighs the financial problems created by Biden’s agenda.

This is clearly a very important seat and one of just a few that Republicans can truly flip, so you better believe they will pour significant resources into Lake's campaign to try to win this election.

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