G. McConway
July 7, 2023

Biden Approval Rating an Anchor to Getting Re-elected

It has only been three months since Joe Biden announced that he would be running for re-election.

Since then, Biden has struggled to get his approval rating out of the 30s, and it seems like it is going down more often than up.

The latest numbers are far from encouraging, to say the least, reports Newsweek.

Sinking Ship

This past Saturday, FiveThirtyEight released its latest numbers, and they were not good for Joe Biden.

In fact, they were the lowest they have been since August 2022.

Biden was sitting at 39.6 approval, with an all-time low of 37.4 not too far in the rear-view mirror.

Mary Radcliffe, a senior research assistant at FiveThirtyEight, explained how they get their cumulative numbers, stating, "Polls within 30 days are considered, but the older the poll is, the less influence it will have on the average, and that decay is pretty significant, since both the modeling technique (local polynomial regression) and the averaging of different bandwidths serve to downweight older polls."

The last time Joe had a net approval rating was two years ago in August 2021, which was the last polling before the disastrous Afghanistan withdrawal.

As bad as this is, it is not all bad news for Joe Biden.

Donald Trump, the clear favorite for the GOP nod, is not doing much better than Joe. Trump's was polling at 42.4 percent approval, just a few ticks above Biden, even though most would say Biden is now arguably the worst president in modern history.

It will be interesting to see how the polls react to the recent Supreme Court rulings, all of which were a major blow to the Democrat agenda, especially the affirmative action case and the student loan forgiveness.

If Trump can figure something out to get people to like him outside his base, this election would be a walkover.

But if he does not, we could see a low-energy, low-turnout election that goes down to the wire.

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