Ann Turner
August 5, 2023

Kari Lake struggling to gain ground in critical race for Senate

The forthcoming Senate race in Arizona is proving to be a tough battleground for potential Republican candidate Kari Lake, who is currently lagging in third place, according to recent polling data. This information is derived from a detailed report by the Daily Caller, which provides an in-depth look at the current standings and the potential consequences of this pivotal race.

According to a poll conducted by Noble Predictive Insights, Lake is trailing behind incumbent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, who recently transitioned from the Democratic party to become an independent, and Democratic candidate Rep. Ruben Gallego. Gallego is currently leading the race with 34% of the vote, while Sinema and Lake are following with 26 and 25% respectively.

Senate majority hangs in the balance

The outcome of this race could significantly impact the composition of the Senate majority. At present, the Democrats, including independents like Sinema who caucus with the party, hold a slim 51-49 majority.

The Republicans are aiming to overturn this balance, particularly with an anticipated victory in West Virginia.

A win for either Gallego or Sinema would aid in preserving the Democratic control of the Senate. However, Democrats might favor Gallego over Sinema, given that Sinema has deviated from party lines on several crucial votes.

The political trajectory of Lake

Lake's political career has been fraught with hurdles. In 2022, she made a bid for the governorship and was defeated by the current Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs.

In the aftermath of her loss, Lake contended that the election was unjustly taken from her and initiated lawsuits in an attempt to reverse the result.

Despite these adversities, Lake has not yet officially announced her candidacy for the Senate seat. However, reports indicate that she is likely to make a declaration at some point this year. There are also rumors that former President Donald Trump is considering Lake as his running mate for the 2024 election.

Additional GOP contenders in the fray

Other potential GOP contenders for Sinema’s seat include former Senate candidate Blake Masters and Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb.

Masters, who was unsuccessful in his 2022 race against Sen. Mark Kelly, has not yet publicly announced his candidacy for 2024. Conversely, Lamb initiated his campaign in December.

Gallego 34, Sinema 26, Lake 25, Undecided 15.

This quote, extracted from a tweet by Matt Holt, succinctly summarizes the current standings in the race, according to the Noble Predictive Insights poll.

Wrapping up

To sum up, the Senate race in Arizona is emerging as a critical contest with potential repercussions for the Senate majority. Here are some key takeaways:

  • Kari Lake, a potential Republican candidate, is currently in a challenging position, trailing in third place.
  • Democratic candidate Rep. Ruben Gallego is leading the race, with independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema following closely.
  • A win for either Gallego or Sinema would aid in preserving the Democratic control of the Senate.
  • Lake has encountered several obstacles in her political journey, including a defeat in the 2022 gubernatorial race.
  • Other potential GOP contenders for Sinema’s seat include Blake Masters and Mark Lamb.

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