One of the big seats that Republicans are targeting in the 2024 election is going be the seat currently held by Senator Jon Tester (D-MT).
This is one of a handful of seats that if the GOP can win, they can flip the Senate.
Tim Sheehy, who is running for the seat, only having announced his campaign in June, has already raised nearly $3 million.
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This race will be expensive, and Sheehy will need some big money to help him take that seat.
To give you an idea, the 2020 race for the seat currently held by Senator Steve Daines (R-MT) cost about $170 million, which is staggering for a senate seat.
Sheehy believes this race will pass that… easily.
He stated, "This race will be defined, unfortunately and largely, by the Democrats." He expects the race to cost more than $250 million when voters get to the booth.
Believe me, he may not be wrong because Democrats know this seat may just hold the key to Senate control.
Sheehy believes the people of Montana are seeking change and a younger voice, and he checks all the boxes, especially having Navy SEAL on his resume.
He stated, "The excitement and enthusiasm for a new candidate with a different profile than they're used to seeing, who's ready to be a new generation of leaders and take this country in different directions, it is palpable.
"And now we're seeing not only is the excitement palpable, but it's coming out in the dollars, too. And we couldn't be more humbled by all the support we've gotten, both in state and from across the nation."
Currently, Sheehy is the only Republican who has announced, but Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-MT) is reportedly considering a run, which would make the race all that much more expensive.
If Sheehy and Rosendale fight it out, that could add tens of millions more, with this race then approaching the $300 million mark.
I believe this seat and the Arizona seat are going to be the two races that dictate who controls the Senate, and Dems only need to grab one of them to keep the gavel.
Lake and Masters are likely to fight it out for the GOP nominee, but Lake is actually polling considerably higher than Masters right now against the Democrat leading candidate, but this is going to be a three-way race with Senator Sinema (I-AZ) in there as well.
The latest polling in a three-way race was released by Public Policy Polling, showing Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) with 41%, Lake in second at 36%, and Sinema all the way down in third at 15%.
Ironically, when Sinema is in the mix, virtually all of her support comes from Lake's contingent.