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October 22, 2024

GOP Makes Up Ground in Key Battleground Senate Race

Senator Bob Casey (D-PA) is in big trouble in his Senate race right now.

In August, Casey was leading his opponent, Republican Dave McCormick, by double digits.

In the most recent polls, McCormick and Casey are now just about dead even, which as the GOP frothing at the mouth over the idea of gaining a seat it thought for sure was gone.

Big Loss

Casey was seemingly about as solid as it gets, but even he has had to change his pitch to voters.

In pure desperation, Casey threw Biden and Harris to the wolves and started to side with Trump on policy.

Casey hopes to lure in those moderates and stop the bleeding, but McCormick clearly has the momentum in this race.

Initially, this race was heavily in favor of Democrats, then it moved to lean Democrat, and now the Cook Political Report considers the race a toss-up.

PA is far from the only state where Republican candidates are heavily challenging Democrat incumbents.

For instance, Senator Jon Tester (D-MT), who once had a nine-point lead in Tim Sheehy, is now down by 8% and fading fast. The GOP also has a really good chance of outing Senator Baldwin (D-WI), who is now also trailing by 1% in the latest poll.

Former pollster for Bill Clinton, Doug Schoen, has been worried from the outset how Harris would impact down-ballot races.

He recently stated, “The so-called blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania is eroding for the Democrats.

“There is a level of disorganization on the ground and incoherence vis-à-vis the messaging that is clear.”

When you have an unpopular candidate, which Harris is, you have low enthusiasm, which means low voter turnout.

A really bad sign for Democrats is that Republicans are dominating early voting, traditionally something that has always benefitted the Democrats.

That does not bode well for their chances in the White House as well as up and down the ticket.

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