February 1, 2024

Biden Leads Trump in New Poll, Third-Party Candidates Grow in Influence

President Biden currently maintains a six-point lead over former President Donald Trump in a potential rematch for the November election, according to a recent national poll from Quinnipiac University.

The survey, conducted from January 25 to 29, indicates that among registered voters nationwide, Biden leads Trump 50% to 44%.

This marks a notable increase from Quinnipiac's December survey, where Biden held a slim one-point advantage.

The poll reveals a significant gender gap, with women showing increased support for Biden at 58%, a 10-point rise from December.

Men continue to favor Trump at 53%, with minimal change from the previous month. Biden's overall lead is reflected in a 96%-2% margin among Democrats and a 52%-40% advantage among independents. In contrast, Trump enjoys strong support among Republicans, with a 91%-7% margin.

The survey also explores a hypothetical five-candidate November showdown, where Biden's lead diminishes.

In this scenario, Biden holds 39%, Trump secures 37%, and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. captures 14%, while Cornell West and Jill Stein trail with 3% and 2%, respectively.

Noteworthy is Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley, who emerges as a contender. In a two-person November showdown, Haley tops Biden 47%-42%. However, in a more crowded field with five candidates, Biden maintains the lead at 36%, while Haley secures 29%, Kennedy takes 21%, West stands at 3%, and Stein at 2%.

Despite Haley advocating for her strength as a GOP nominee against Biden, the poll underscores Trump's commanding lead for the Republican nomination. Trump won both the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary by double digits.

In a nationwide poll among GOP and Republican-leaning voters, Trump outpaces Haley by a significant margin, leading 77%-21% ahead of the South Carolina primary.

As the race progresses to South Carolina on February 24, Haley faces a challenging path for the nomination despite her aspirations on the national stage.

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