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October 31, 2024

POLL: Trump Takes Lead in PA

The election is really starting to shape up in terms of what we expect to see when the results are announced.

As I have stated in previous reports, all the momentum appears to be in Trump’s direction right now.

That has further been supported with the latest round of polling, which shows a big move by Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania.

Making His Move

The latest Quinnipiac survey was very good news for Trump.

When Harris first entered the race, she had as much as a 2.3% lead over Trump in PA.

Slowly but surely, Donald Trump has been moving the needle back in his favor.

Harris was holding the state solidly until about mid-September, which is when we started to see the polls start to move in Trump’s favor.

By the beginning of October, Harris was tied with Trump in numerous polls or had a small lead.

By mid-October, they were tied or a one-point swing either way.

Now, just a week out from the election, Trump has had all the momentum go his way, with an Emerson College poll giving Trump a 2-point lead, and now the latest Quinnipiac survey showing Trump with a 2-point lead.

AtlasIntel is actually the most recent poll, and Trump is holding a 3-point lead in that survey.

Something to consider in these polls is that undecided male voters are now flocking to Trump.

To give you an idea, in the Quinnipiac poll in early August, Trump was +11 with men, and -14 with women, for a net +3. In the most recent poll, Trump was +20 with men, and -16 with women, for a net +4.

In a race that is expected to come down to the wire, that growth in the gender gap favoring Trump is huge, giving him the exact advantage that he needs.

And yes, Harris knows she has a problem with male voters, but she has been unable to do anything about it with her cringe ads and challenges to men about being scared to vote for a woman.

Right now, Trump is the one with all the momentum, and after Biden’s “garbage” gaffe, I just don’t see that changing.

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