Latest Polling Shows Jill Stein Hurts Harris in Presidential Election
Democrats have been worried about how third-party candidates would impact this race, and it now seems clear that while the impact is not much, they are clearly taking votes away from Harris.
Shockingly, however, the only real candidate that is getting any grip is Jill Stein.
This has created a bit of a movement by Dems to try to block her from running for election again.
Not the Way It Works
Over the last few days, I have seen quite a few posts for petitions to ban Jill Stein from running for president, and now I know why.
A recent AtlasIntel poll showed Donald Trump beating Harris 50.7% to 47.6% with a full ticket. In that poll, Jill Stein was winning 0.8% of voters.
In a head-to-head poll, however, Donald Trump was beating Harris 50.8% to 48.1%, so the third-party candidates were only taking about 0.1% from Trump while taking 0.5% from Harris.
In the overall scheme of things, this is a very small amount, but this election is going to be a tight one, so every vote counts, which is why Dems are fighting Stein, especially in battleground states.
For instance, earlier this year, Democrats filed a complaint against Stein to have her removed from the Wisconsin ballot.
Again, Stein is getting less than 1% of the vote, but in recent years, Wisconsin has been won by less than 23,000 votes, in some cases less than 6,000 votes separating the winner from the loser.
The Blue Wall states appear to be the key for both candidates at this point as well as North Carolina.
Harris and Trump are currently tied in Michigan, Trump has now taken the lead in Pennsylvania, Harris has a small lead in Wisconsin, and in all but one recent poll, Trump is beating Harris in North Carolina.
If that polling holds true, Trump would only have to split Nevada and Arizona with Harris, which appears to be likely, and he would also have to win Georgia, which has tightened up considerably in the last round of polls.
There are no comfortable margins in any state, so both candidates must continue to hit the ground in the key seven states because this remains a toss-up.